MultiLED

Descomposición de la esperanza de vida saludable multiestado (MultiLED)

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| Resumen del Proyecto

Título: Descomposición de la Esperanza de Vida Saludable Multiestado
Acrónimo: MultiLED
Investigador Principal: Timothy Riffe
Financiador: Fundación La Caixa
Identificador de la Beca: SR22-00502
Subvencion concedida: 99.999,46€
Fechas: 01/12/2022 - 31/05/2025

Resumen: Este proyecto pretende desarrollar, describir, probar y aplicar un método para descomponer de manera fiable las diferencias en medidas resumidas calculadas a partir de modelos multiestado. Aplicaremos el enfoque a estimaciones multiestado de la esperanza de vida saludable (EVS) en España para explicar tendencias e inequidades en la EVS en términos de transiciones de salud y mortalidad.

Métodos: Se estimarán las transiciones de salud y mortalidad para la población española utilizando datos de EU-SILC y SHARE y se utilizarán estos datos para calcular la esperanza de vida saludable y no saludable usando modelos multiestado. El método de descomposición propuesto se utilizará entonces para explicar los cambios y brechas en la esperanza de vida saludable.

Resultados esperados: Los resultados de descomposición indicarán la importancia absoluta y relativa de las diferencias de mortalidad y transiciones críticas, como el inicio y la recuperación de discapacidades.

Relevancia social: Estos resultados ayudarán a cuantificar la importancia relativa de salvar vidas frente a la prevención y recuperación en años de vida saludable. Esta información ayuda a enmarcar políticas destinadas a reducir la desigualdad y continuar mejorando la salud para toda la población.

Valor científico: Para los científicos sociales que utilizan modelos multiestado para estimar la esperanza de vida laboral, esperanza de vida en pareja o esperanza de vida saludable, el método de descomposición propuesto permitirá investigar algunas de las preguntas más apremiantes en ciencias sociales: ¿qué transiciones determinan tendencias y qué transiciones crean desigualdades de género, clase, geográficas y otras?

 

| Colaboradores Principales

 

| Resultados del proyecto

Organización de conferencias & reuniones

 

Artículos científicos

Artículos en preparación
  • Tim Riffe, Mauricio Gonzalez-Forero. Attrition-based sensitivity for multistate models of health with large state spaces
  • Tim Riffe, Rustam Tursun-zade. Decomposing a Sullivan expectancy: An indirect incidence-based approach.
  • Tim Riffe, Rustam Tursun-zade, Amaia Bacigalupe, Ainhoa Alustiza: Disentangling the gender paradox in health and mortality in Spain (2011 - 2021)
  • Margherita Moretti, Tim Riffe, Kaarina Korhonen, Alyson van Raalte, Pekka Martikainen. Demographic and social drivers of widowhood expectancy evolution over three decades in Finland
  • Shubhankar Sharma, Tim Riffe, Pekka Martikainen, Mikko Myrskylä, Margherita Moretti. Decomposing the change in cardiovascular disease-free life expectancy in Finland by gender and education (2000-04 and 2016-20): A multistate decomposition based on total population register data
  • Shubhankar Sharma, Tim Riffe, Pekka Martikainen, Mikko Myrskylä, Margherita Moretti. Decomposing the gender disparity in cardiovascular health: A register-based multistate analysis
  • Adrian Kunz, Adrien Remund, Tim Riffe, Karsten Hank. How does Healthy Life Expectancy differ between Migrants and Natives?

 

Presentaciones en diferentes eventos

  • Shubhankar Sharma (2025, Jan 13) Cardiovascular-disease free life expectancy (HLE): decomposing the changes (project 2) and gender disparities (project 3), faculty seminar. University of Helsinki, Finland.
  • Tim Riffe (2025, Jan 28,  invited) “The limits of Sullivan inputs, and what to do about them”, Laboratory on Longevity and Ageing (LoLA) network, online.
  • Tim Riffe (2024, Sept 25-27)  EAPS Health, Morbidity, and Mortality Working Group meeting. “DemoDecomp: An R package of generalized demoposition methods”. Bilbao, Spain.
  • Tim Riffe (2024, June 12-15) EPC meeting “Decomposing a Sullivan expectancy: An indirect incidence-based approach”. Edinburgh, UK.
  • Tim Riffe (2024, May 22-24) REVES annual meeting. “Decomposing a Sullivan expectancy: An indirect incidence-based approach”. Bogotá, Colombia. 
  • Tim Riffe (2024, May 22-24) REVES annual meeting. “Arriaga meets Kitagawa: life expectancy decompositions including population subgroups”. Bogotá, Colombia.
  • Tim Riffe (2024, April 17-20) PAA Annual Meeting “Decomposing a Sullivan expectancy: An indirect incidence-based approach”. Columbus, USA.
  • Margherita Moretti (2024, November 6-8) 2nd Annual MaxHel Center Meeting. Rostock, Germany.
  • Margherita Moretti (2024, September 25) EAPS Health, Morbidity, Mortality working group annual meeting. Bilbao, Basque Country. 
  • Margherita Moretti (2024, August 20-21) “Evolution over three decades of widowhood lifespan in Finland and its gender and educational inequalities” New horizons for health equity research workshop. Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Margherita Moretti (2024, June 12-15) “Evolution over three decades of widowhood lifespan in Finland and its gender and educational inequalities” European Population Conference EPC. Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
  • Tianyu Shen (2024, March 27, invited) “Decomposing the Difference in Healthy Life Expectancy From Multistate Life Table”. Formal Demography Working Group. online.
  • Tim Riffe (2023, Sept 28, invited) Uncertainty in healthy life years, CPoP Seminar Series, Odense, Denmark
  • Tim Riffe (2023, Sept 26, invited) Uncertainty in healthy life years, MPIDR Population Health Lab Talk, Rostock, Germany.
  • Tianyu Shen (2023, April 13) “Decomposing the Difference in Healthy Life Expectancy From Multistate Life Table” PAA annual meeting, New Orleans, USA.
  • Tim Riffe (2023, March 7, invited) “Uncertainty in healthy life years” Population and Health Research Group Seminar Series University of St. Andrews, UK.
  • Tim Riffe (2022, August 30 - Sept 2, invited)  “Decomposing differences in multistate indices: Compositional reflections” Climbing Mortality Models workshop, Misurina, Italy
  • Tim Riffe (2023, Sept 20-22) “Sensitivity and decomposition of multistate healthy life expectancy” (poster) EAPS Health, Morbidity, and Mortality Working Group meeting. Budapest, Hungary.
  • Tim Riffe (2023, May 24-26) “Sensitivity and decomposition of multistate healthy life expectancy” (poster) REVES Meeting. Padua, Italy. 
  • Tianyu Shen (2023, April 12-15)  “Decomposing the Difference in Healthy Life Expectancy From Multistate Life Table” (poster) PAA Annual Meeting, New Orleans, USA.
  • Margherita Moretti (2023, February 2) “Multistate analysis and decomposition of disability-free life expectancy trends at mid-to-older ages in Italy, 2004–19”
  • Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione – Popdays (SIS-AISP) (Rome, Italy) 
  • Margherita Moretti (2023, April 12-15)  “A Multistate Analysis and Decomposition of Disability-Free Life Expectancy Trends in Italy, 2004–2019” (poster) PAA Annual Meeting, New Orleans, USA.
  • Margherita Moretti (2023, Jan 31) “Multistate analysis and decomposition of disability-free life expectancy trends at mid-to-older ages in Italy, 2004–19”. Workshop LoLA (Rome, Italy)